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Showing posts from October, 2022

CBR: NBA PODs 10/26

  Unfortunately, life has gotten in the way again of our pursuit to bankrupt the books. After a weekend of drunken debauchery at a wonderful wedding the big bad COVID got me. So, here I sit, alone in my room like some sort of medical prisoner. Alas, I will not let it get me down. Enough with my pity party, time to make some coins.  Tonight, I am all over two plays that I believe deliver great value based on the sharp money that is currently on them. We track sharp money and its value by using a system called the handle bet difference (HBD),  which is the difference between the  percent money bet (the handle), and the amount of bets made on that particular side (bet).  76ers -2 Right now according to the Draftkings data, 79% of the money is on this side, whilst 69% of the bets are the side as well. With a 10% HBD, the 76ers are the side to be on. The smart money seems to be betting that the 76ers can build momentum off their first win against the Pacers and conti...

CBR: NBA Opening Night

THEY`RE PLAYING BASKETBALL! It’s that time of year again, NBA Hoops is back and its time to deploy units like its D-Day. Looking at slate for tonight, I`m zeroing in on the night cap west coast conference throwdown between the Lakers and the Warriors as the spot to make some nice coin on what is shaping up to be a big time opening night of the 2022-2023 NBA Season.   The Lakers opened as 6 point dog and have since moved up to +7 as of the publishing of this article. There is about a 10% difference between % bets made on the lakers and % handle (money bet), with the ladder being 10% more. This signals that the sharps are on the Lakers. Big % handle (money bet), fewer % bets is a winning system in the NBA.   Tonight seems like a great spot to test that system. Lakers +7.     Personal note, I apologize for not writing much over the past couple weeks. I have just changed jobs, so there has been a lot going with me, but I`m back now!